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コラム2026-07-01

[Fantasy Prediction] 2026 World Cup Semi-Finals: Our Bold Pick Has Morocco vs. Norway and USA vs. Argentina

An editorial team's wild fantasy prediction sees Morocco, Norway, USA, and Argentina advancing to the semi-finals. We break down the imagined scorelines from the quarter-finals and the key highlights to watch in both semi-final matchups.

#W杯#戦術分析#注目選手

sports_soccer This is not a prediction of the official tournament bracket. This is a purely entertainment-driven piece in which our editorial team has indulged in completely arbitrary and opinionated fantasy about "what if these four nations made it to the semifinals." As of July 1, 2026, the tournament is still in the middle of the Round of 32, and the actual quarterfinal and semifinal matchups have yet to be determined. Please enjoy this as a lighthearted piece of "fantasy."


star Why We Chose These Four Nations

  • Morocco ― Became the first African side in history to reach the semifinals at the 2022 Qatar World Cup. In this tournament, they have already shown their "giant-killer" credentials by defeating the Netherlands on penalties (3-2) after a 1-1 draw in the Round of 32.
  • Norway ― Boasting Erling Haaland and Martin Ødegaard, they are competing in the World Cup for the first time in 28 years. They edged through the Round of 32 with a 2-1 win thanks to Haaland's 86th-minute goal.
  • USA ― As hosts, they are aiming to surpass their best-ever home result. Although they lost to Turkey in the final group stage match, they finished top of Group D with 2 wins, 1 loss, and 6 points (8 goals scored). They are riding high under manager Pochettino.
  • Argentina ― The 2022 champions and current FIFA No. 1 ranked team. They swept through Group J with three straight wins and appear fully prepared to crown Messi's "final World Cup" with a title.

There is absolutely no guarantee that these four nations would actually meet in these semifinal matchups given the real tournament bracket. Even so, we press on with this fantasy as the "dream fixtures we'd love to see."

sports_soccer Imaginary Scores for Each Nation's Quarterfinal

Morocco 2-1 France

Achraf Hakimi (Morocco national team DF / Captain)
Achraf Hakimi (Morocco national team DF / Captain)

A fantasy rematch against the side that beat them 0-2 in the 2022 semifinals. Hakimi and Amrabat, who know the bitterness of that night, construct a rock-solid defense, while Ennasiri forces in the decisive second goal. The scenario: sweet revenge against the runners-up from 2022 who left Morocco with nothing.

Norway 3-2 Brazil

Erling Haaland (Norway national team FW)
Erling Haaland (Norway national team FW)

The world's greatest striker topples one of the title favorites in a high-scoring thriller. Haaland nets twice, and substitute Sorloth reads the game brilliantly off an Ødegaard through-ball to score the winner. The fantasy: a match that showcases the very essence of a Norway side said to be capable of "taking on the world with just two players."

USA 1-0 England

Christian Pulisic (USA national team MF/FW)
Christian Pulisic (USA national team MF/FW)

Backed by a roaring home crowd, Pulisic strikes a priceless late winner. McKennie marshals the defense as they grind out a low-scoring battle of nerves. The script: a historic achievement on home soil, surpassing the quarterfinal finishes of 1930 and 2002.

Argentina 4-2 Spain

Lionel Messi (Argentina national team FW / Captain)
Lionel Messi (Argentina national team FW / Captain)

A shootout between the defending champions and Spain, the embodiment of modern football. Messi runs riot with 2 goals and 2 assists, living out his "final World Cup," while the next-generation duo of Alvarez and Fernandez provide vital support. The fantasy: a high-quality, end-to-end battle that exceeds what even the scoreline suggests.


local_fire_department Semifinal ① Morocco vs Norway — What to Watch

These two nations actually met in a friendly on June 7, 2026, just before the tournament. Brahim Díaz's opener was canceled out by Ødegaard's second-half goal, ending 1-1 (ESPN article open_in_new). The fact that this is a "rematch" rather than a "first meeting" adds another layer of intrigue to this fantasy semifinal.

  • Morocco's iron defense vs Norway's counter-attacking game: Morocco's trademark has been their compact defensive organization, carried over from the 2022 World Cup. Norway, on the other hand, thrive on rapid transitions when forced to sit back, making the dynamic between two sides that each prefer to let the other attack the central question of how this plays out.
  • Hakimi's two-way threat vs Norway's wide attack: Right back Hakimi is a danger not only defensively but also going forward. How Norway exploit the space behind him could largely determine how the match unfolds.
  • Amrabat's "lid" vs Ødegaard's creativity: How much Morocco's defensive midfielder Amrabat can restrict Ødegaard's freedom is crucial. If he succeeds, the supply line to Haaland — Norway's lifeblood — will dry up.
  • Uncharted territory for both sides: Morocco know what a semifinal looks like having been there in 2022, but for Norway it would be a semifinal appearance in just their first World Cup in 28 years. Whether that gap in experience makes a difference is not to be overlooked.

As the friendly scoreline suggests, the balance of power is razor-thin. Our fantasy editorial verdict: Morocco edge it by the narrowest of margins.

local_fire_department Semifinal ② USA vs Argentina — What to Watch

There is a hidden human drama to this fixture. USA manager Pochettino is a born-and-bred Argentine. If this fantasy semifinal were to come true, he would find himself facing his own homeland while managing the country that adopted him — a truly extraordinary twist of fate.

  • Home crowd noise vs the champions' mentality: The USA, buoyed by a red-hot home crowd, face an Argentina that knows how to win — a team forged in the fire of 2022.
  • Pulisic & Weah's drive vs Argentina's experienced back line: Can the battle-hardened Argentina defense handle the pace of America's young wide players, who have been schooled at Europe's top clubs?
  • The weight of Messi's "final World Cup": Despite concerns over his physical condition, Messi has a habit of flicking the switch at crucial moments. How much freedom America's defense can deny him is key, as is tracking Alvarez for loose-ball situations.
  • The pressure of being the host nation: For a USA side with no history of advancing beyond the quarterfinals, a home semifinal brings its own weight. Conversely, a "nothing to lose" mentality could set them free.

Poise of champions or momentum of the hosts? It promises to be another knife-edge affair, but factoring in Argentina's ability to deliver when it matters most with Messi in the side, our fantasy verdict leans slightly toward Argentina.


info Summary

As you have read, this is a complete "fantasy" piece with no bearing on the real tournament bracket. The actual quarterfinals are scheduled from July 10, 2026, with the semifinals on July 15 and 16. Keep up with the real bracket and how it develops on our article knockout bracket page and article group stage & winner prediction page, both updated in real time.

Morocco, Norway, USA, Argentina. Will these four nations actually make it to the final four, or will our editorial fantasy fall flat? We'll be chasing the answer right here on this site as the tournament unfolds.

article Morocco team pagearticle Norway team pagearticle USA team pagearticle Argentina team page


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